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12/18/25 at 5:00pm
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Space.com
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Tereza Pultarova
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"2.8 days is the average expectation value for time to the first collision."
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https://www.space.com/space-exploration/satellites/crash-clock-reveals-how-soon-satellite-collisions-would-occur-after-a-severe-solar-storm-and-its-pretty-scary
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